2026-08-04? unverified
To be clear, the $100 billion ARR in December is not a question mark. That's what we would achieve if we basically did nothing.
A forward claim about SpaceX's own revenue, recorded as a forecast (the weaker inference about a speaker forecasting a company he controls). It resolves when SpaceX next discloses an annualised-recurring-revenue figure at or after December 2026: at least $100 billion confirms it. Musk's own framing conditions the number on closing the $60 billion Cursor acquisition, so a resolution should note whether that deal closed. Unverified at capture.