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David Cahn

personCredibility: 60%

Why this score? Partner at Sequoia Capital; author of the "$200B/$600B question" essays. Quantitatively rigorous AI skeptic; a VC, so self-interested but analytically disciplined.

Tracked Statements (1)

AI's $200B question is now AI's $600B question.?

Context: Multi-year framing whose horizon runs to mid-2027; still unverified. The gap Cahn described has widened, not closed: Goldman now puts the five largest spenders near $750 billion of 2026 capital spending against filed revenue an order of magnitude smaller — OpenAI's audited 2025 revenue was $13.07 billion, and Microsoft's firmest disclosure is Azure passing $100 billion for its fiscal year, a segment that is not AI-only.