Context: Mixed. No mobilisation decree has been issued, so the denial's core still stands. But Medvedev's own figure — about 200,000 Defence Ministry contracts in the first half of 2026 — implies roughly 1,100 signings a day where Janis Kluge counts 800–1,000 for the first quarter, and against the 409,000 recruitment plan it leaves Russia short at a constant rate. Preparation short of a call-up is on the record: conscription moved to a year-round cycle at the end of 2025.