Why this score Assigned based on institutional history and track record.
Is there a legislative play? Is there a framework around a special session in that respect? Is there executive action?
Options Newsom said he was weighing. He took the executive route the next day: an 18 September order telling state agencies to draft recommendations within two months. Whether a special session follows is open. He called the laws signed the week before ‘the floor, not the ceiling’.
Regulating only the largest and most expensive AI models could give the public a false sense of security while smaller specialized models may prove equally or more dangerous, and the bill applied stringent standards even to basic, low-risk uses.
The core reasoning of Newsom's SB 1047 veto message — a policy judgment about how to target frontier-AI regulation. It is a normative argument rather than a dated, falsifiable forecast, so it is recorded but not scored as a prediction.