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The Open-Weight Frontier
The gap between the best downloadable model and the best closed one more than doubled on paper this week, because the ruler changed. On 27 October Artificial Analysis rebuilt its Intelligence Index around private and harder tests. The best models with published weights, DeepSeek's V4.1 Flash 1017 and Zhipu's GLM-5.3, score 32 on it, 26 points behind the leader; a day later Google's closed Gemini 4 Carbon took the top at 59. On the old version the gap was twelve. The analyst Nathan Lambert says the old index flattered open models; Epoch AI's cyber measure, a different method, puts the best open model six to seven months behind.
Two labs published weights they had promised. MiniMax released M3.1 Flash on 23 October, four days after launch; it scores 29. Mistral released Large 4, about a trillion parameters, on 29 October, inside its end-of-month promise, under a licence that charges hosting businesses; it scores 26.
Moonshot's Kimi K3.1 Pro scored fourth of all models at its 23 October launch, and the index said its weights were expected soon after. They have not appeared. Meta's Muse Spark Open, at 25, is still the best American open model.
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