No front of the AI story carries more confident, contradictory claims than its effect on work. Executives attribute layoffs to AI, boosters promise new industries, and forecasters publish displacement numbers spanning an order of magnitude — while official labor statistics have no 'AI' column at all. This page separates the claimed from the corroborated: announced AI-attributed job changes on one line, what later evidence actually supports on the other, with every prediction dated and revisited when it comes due.