Updated Oct 29

The New Maps

House districts, on the lines used in 2024

Boundaries from the US Census Bureau, 119th Congress

New linesNew lines, by courtRedraw blockedRedraw dropped2024 lines

The redrawn lines in Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas and Utah are not yet drawn here; those districts are shown on their 2024 lines.

Every House district on the lines it is run on, shaded by what its state did to those lines since 2024. Where a redrawn state’s plan has been drawn, the bar rewinds it to its 2024 lines.

Every state’s lines for 3 November are settled, and the remaining fights are about 2028. On 27 October the three-judge federal court in Shreveport heard Louisiana and civil-rights groups argue that the Callais case is over, and the challengers’ lawyer argue for keeping it open to examine the 2nd District, the state’s last majority-Black seat. The court did not rule; its next date is 15 December, and no decision can change this year’s map.

In Missouri, Proposition A asks whether the 2025 map, which would make Kansas City’s 5th District one Trump carried in 2024, replaces the 2022 lines from 2028. The opposing committee reports more than $5 million in large contributions; the map’s backers say no campaign is organised for it.

On this year’s maps, the Cook Political Report’s 17 House toss-ups as of 23 October included five Democratic seats Republican legislators redrew, the Times reported. An Associated Press analysis on 20 October found the new maps moved the House’s deciding seat 1.4 points toward Republicans, and Republican leaders concede they will not win every seat drawn for them.

New Oct 29

The whole story4 chapters

The state of it — as of October 29, 2026

states voting on congressional lines different from 2024

+1.4 pts

shift toward Republicans in the deciding House seat, on 2024 votes

2 to 5

seats nonpartisan raters say the new maps could flip to Republicans

Item	Status	Figure	As of
Texas38 districts · legislature	New lines	drawn to add 5 R, per Politico	Aug 29, 2025
California52 districts · voters	New lines		Nov 4, 2025
North Carolina14 districts · legislature	New lines		Oct 22, 2025
Ohio15 districts · commission	New lines		Oct 31, 2025
Florida28 districts · legislature	New lines	potential 4 R, per Crystal Ball	May 4, 2026
Tennessee9 districts · legislature	New lines		Oct 1, 2026
Louisiana6 districts · legislature after a court ruling	New lines, by court		May 29, 2026
Alabama7 districts · legislature after a court ruling	New lines, by court		Jun 2, 2026
Utah4 districts · court	New lines, by court		Nov 10, 2025
Virginia11 districts · amendment struck down	Redraw blocked		May 15, 2026
Missouri8 districts · referendum required	Redraw blocked		Sep 25, 2026
Georgia14 districts	Redraw dropped		Jun 17, 2026
Indiana9 districts	Redraw dropped		Dec 11, 2025
South Carolina7 districts	Redraw dropped		May 26, 2026
Marylandlegislature · amendment on ballot	Redraw dropped		Feb 2, 2026
Kansaslegislature	Redraw dropped		Jan 15, 2026

Oct 1, 2026 · latest

Every state that redrew its congressional map since 2024 or tried to, and the lines it votes on in November. A map is counted as favouring a party only as a named analyst counts it.

Earlier this month

Oct 22, 2026

AP Finds the New Maps Moved the Deciding Seat 1.4 Points Toward Republicans

An Associated Press analysis on 20 October found the new maps moved the median House seat, the 218th, from Arizona’s 1st District, Trump +3.1 in 2024, to Wisconsin’s 1st, Trump +4.5: the average district is 1.4 points more Republican. AP calls the shift slight and says it may not stop Democrats taking the House; about a third of all districts were redrawn to some extent. NPR estimated on 22 October that Republican legislatures tilted about eight more seats their way than Democrats did in response, and reported that Republicans could lose many of the districts they targeted.

Read

Associated PressNPR

Oct 10, 2026

Estimates of the New Maps’ Value to Republicans Run From Nine Seats to None

Brookings’ Elaine Kamarck counted, from Cook’s ratings, “as many as nine” Republican gains; Politico judged on 6 September they would net at least six. G. Elliott Morris put it at two. The New Yorker reports analysts now peg it at “anywhere from six seats to none”, with Texas’s map, drawn to add five, likely to yield two or three. Cook projects about four from redistricting alone, Axios reported on 6 October; nonpartisan raters cited by the Washington Examiner say two to five; Punchbowl News, via the New York Post, counts Republicans favoured in about five of 13 or 14 seats.

Read

The New YorkerBrookings InstitutionPolitico EuropeWashington ExaminerNew York PostAxios

Oct 8, 2026

Despite a new Republican gerrymander, we are skeptical that Republicans will actually max out their potential four-seat gain in Florida.

— Sabato's Crystal Ball

Not yet checked

Written by managing editor Kyle Kondik as the firm moved Florida’s redrawn 25th District to Leans Democratic, as quoted by the Sun Sentinel. Settled by Florida’s certified results.

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South Florida Sun Sentinel

Oct 7, 2026

As far as redistricting this cycle goes, we did our job. But some of these new districts may be hard to win this cycle.

— Adam Kincaid

Not yet checked

The executive director of the National Republican Redistricting Trust, which drew Republican maps, as quoted by the New York Post on 7 October. No seat figure given, so the claim cannot be scored; the certified results will show which new districts Republicans won.

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New York Post

Oct 6, 2026

We’re not gonna win all 13 of those redistricted seats. That’s correct. We’re not.

— Tom Emmer

Not yet checked

The House Republican whip, to Axios, published 6 October; he said it on a flight the Thursday before. He added he would be “surprised” by a Texas sweep of five and “shocked” by a Florida sweep of four. Settled by certified results.

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Axios

This quarter

Sep 28, 2026

Nine States Are Voting on New Lines

With Missouri settled, the districts for November are fixed in every state, the Associated Press reports. Nine states are using lines different from 2024: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas and Utah. AP says all favour Republicans except California’s and Utah’s. It estimates Republicans could net up to nine seats if every map performs as designed, though a good Democratic year could reduce that, and that about one in ten potential voters is in a different district than in 2024. Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina and Virginia tried to redraw and did not.

Read

St. Paul Pioneer PressBallotpediaU.S. Census Bureau

Sep 25, 2026

Supreme Court Leaves Missouri on Its 2022 Map

Missouri will vote on the congressional lines it used in 2024. On 25 September the US Supreme Court, in an unsigned opinion with no noted dissent, paused an appeals court ruling that had told the state to use a map drawn in 2025. It was the third time in a month the Court had declined to allow the new map, which SCOTUSblog says was intended to give Republicans an additional seat. The 2025 map was used in the August primary. The Missouri Supreme Court held on 3 September that it cannot take effect unless voters approve it in a referendum on the November ballot. The order said the election “has already started”.

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Supreme Court of the United StatesSCOTUSblogSt. Paul Pioneer PressRoll Call

Sep 6, 2026

The Texas redistricting effort will for sure yield a two-seat gain, and more than likely yield a three-seat gain. Picking up five seats will be difficult considering the environment and headwinds Republicans face this cycle.

— Alfredo Rodriguez

Read

Politico Europe

Earlier this year

Jun 2, 2026Alabama Will Vote on Its 2023 Map

May 15, 2026Virginia Will Vote on Its Existing Map After Two Courts Rule

May 7, 2026Tennessee Splits Memphis Three Ways

Apr 29, 2026

Supreme Court Strikes Down Louisiana’s Second Black-Majority District

In Louisiana v. Callais the Supreme Court held, 6-3, that the Voting Rights Act did not require Louisiana to draw a second majority-Black district, so the map it drew to create one was an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. Justice Alito, for the Court, also narrowed how a Section 2 claim is proved: a challenger’s alternative map may not use race and must meet the state’s own aims, political goals included, as well as the state’s map does, and evidence of racially polarised voting must control for party. Within six weeks the ruling had been applied to Alabama’s map, and Tennessee and Louisiana had passed new ones.

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Supreme Court of the United StatesSupreme Court of the United StatesSupreme Court of the United States

Covered since Apr 2026Read it from the start →